8 febbraio 2008

Democratici divisi o no? La fine dell'onda lunga reaganiana?


Secondo Matt Bai del domenicale di NYT la maratona per la nomination democratica non dividerà l'elettorato del partito. Secondo Richard Adams del Guardian, numeri alla mano la candidatura alla presidenza si decide inevitabilmente nei corridoi della convention di agosto. Con conseguenze sulla tenuta della baracca. I numeri delle primarie segnalano il ritorno della politica progressista? David Frum lancia l'allarme sul Financial Times. L'onda lunga cominciata con l'elezione di Reagan governatore della California (e non interrotta da Clinton) è alla fine? L'autore, che lavora all'American Enterprise Institute, non ne sarebbe contento.

1 commento:

Ken Strong, now in Florence, ha detto...

May be it is at the end, maybe not. Look at this clever analysis by Rasmussen:

[This is] a time when three of the last four Presidential elections have been decided with the winner earning less than 50% of the popular vote. That hasn’t happened since the late nineteenth century. The last two Presidents came into power with their party in control of Congress but lost it during their tenure. That has never happened before.
Republicans won control of Congress in 1994 with a promise to clean up the institution. They did not. Democrats won control of Congress in 2006 with a promise to end the War in Iraq. They did not.
A generation has gone by without any President winning a sweeping electoral victory and a solid majority of the popular vote. Such confirming victories used to happen with regularity and are needed for the health of the nation’s political system.